Did some quick calculations in my head today while taking a shower. There are two main milestone dates that I’d like to have reached my goal by, either my birthday in October or the 1-year anniversary date of the diet.
I have 70.5 pounds to go and my birthday is 27 weeks away, meaning I’d have to average 2.6′ish pounds a week. That’s a pretty rapid clip and while my current average is 2.68, and I dropped 3 last week, sustaining a loss rate like that is going to be pretty difficult. Furthermore, to keep up that pace, I’d probably have to do things I can’t (or won’t) keep up long term, and one of the points of this whole adventure is to build new good habits that will last after I’ve reached my goal weight.
The 1-year anniversary, on the other hand, is 41 weeks away. I calculated 1.75 pounds a week. The calculator’s coming up with a hair under 1.72. That’s a lot more possible, although even that may be a bit aggressive. A good, healthy goal, is 1-2 pounds a week. It’s in that range, but it’s near the upper end. There may be weeks I exceed it and weeks I don’t meet it. It’s possible I could average it. If I do average it, that will put me at 206 by my birthday, which will be my lowest weight since I tried Fen-Phen in early 1997 and lost 22 pounds before going off it due to safety concerns. That would be my lightest in 12.5 years.
When I finally reach 197, it will mark the weight I got down to when I tried Nutrisystem after my 21st birthday (going from 221 to 197 before derailing). So the moment I hit 196, probably sometime in December, it will be the lightest I’ve been in around 20 years. Wow.

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And he already looks so much better. I’m going to sop him up with a biscuit.